Problem
You abandon systems after normal losing streaks, thinking they’re broken.
Cause
- Lack of trust in edge.
- Pain of losses feels unbearable.
- Overreacting to short-term results.
How the Brain Works
- Losses activate pain centers.
- Loss aversion magnifies drawdowns emotionally.
- Short-term pain outweighs long-term logic.
Real-Life Example
Viktor backtests a 55% win rate system. After 5 losses, he abandons it. The next 10 trades would’ve been winners.
Practical Solutions
- Backtest Expected Drawdown – know what’s “normal.”
- Journal Each DD – compare to historical averages.
- Sample Size Reminder – think 100 trades, not 5.
- Equity Curve Visualization – zoom out to big picture.
Key Takeaway: Drawdowns are the tuition you pay 📉.
Patience turns them into future gains 📈.