Beginner Trading Psychology

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Lesson 9 – Not Accepting Uncertainty

Problem
You want certainty before every trade — absolute proof the market will go your way. This leads to hesitation or paralysis.

Cause

  • Human discomfort with risk.
  • Illusion of control.
  • Inability to accept probability thinking.

How the Brain Works

  • The amygdala reacts strongly to uncertainty, triggering fear.
  • The brain craves binary answers (yes/no, right/wrong), but markets don’t work like that.
  • Trying to eliminate uncertainty = endless analysis paralysis.

Real-Life Example
Ruta wants “all signals aligned” before entering. She waits, hesitates, and never takes the trade. Ironically, her need for certainty keeps her from trading at all.

Practical Solutions

  1. Accept Probabilities – remind yourself: no setup is 100%.
  2. Risk Management = Certainty – control risk, not outcomes.
  3. Write a Mantra – “Uncertainty is where my edge lives.”
  4. Force Execution Practice – take setups with small risk to desensitize fear.

Key Takeaway: The only certainty in trading is uncertainty 🎲. Embrace probabilities, not guarantees ✅.

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